While there’s always a fear of disappointment as UC comes into this contest after a stellar win over Kansas, our college basketball betting picks don’t see how rookies can keep this tight – despite their inclination to do so.
The Oklahoma Sooners head to Fort Worth for the TCU Horned Frogs’ 11th NCAA Tournament game at hoops Tuesday night.
Both schools are trying to find some consistency in a very competitive Big-12 conference, and while the Horned Frogs had an impressive road win against Kansas, the Sooners have fallen three of their last four.
College basketball prospects The showdown in this conference opened with the Frogs as the best of 7 before reducing to -5.5. Check out my best from Oklahoma vs. TCU College basketball betting picks below.
Best odds against Oklahoma vs. TCU
Oklahoma vs. TCU Picks and Predictions
There are some concerns about the six-point situation with the hosts here. after every thing , Sooner Oklahoma They have a tendency to keep things close and TCU horned frogs He may be in for a letdown after a massive win in Lawrence.
However, this font certainly does not look inflated by a modernist bias. Keep in mind, the Sooners were 10.5-point underdogs on the road against the Jayhawks two weeks ago and were 5-point dogs against mediocre Texas Tech a little earlier.
Oklahoma is 2-5 against Big-12 opponents and the two teams they beat (Texas Tech and West Virginia) are a combined 1-13 in conference play and the Sooners barely outplayed both of them.
This is also a poor match for infield players who tend to be sloppy with the ball, rarely make it to the charity bar, and have seen their perimeter shooting drop off lately.
The Sooners are ranked 255th in turnover rate (19.3%) and will be harassed by a solid Horned Frogs defense that ranks 16th in opposition turnover in the country. The Frogs do an excellent job of pressing opposing ballplayers while also spoiling defense at the lowest 19 average in the country.
Already soon they don’t get to the free-throw line very often and that problem can get worse. The Sooners also went into last week shooting 37.3% from depth, but they went a combined 9-36 against Oklahoma State and Baylor and now face a TCU team that limits foes to 29.6% shooting from long distance.
Oklahoma has been relying heavily on Grant Sherfield to generate offense, and if the Frogs’ stingy defense can keep him in check, force swings, and drive the tempo, they’ll cover that spread.
Your best bet: TCU -5.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
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Oklahoma versus TCU prevalence analysis
TCU pulls off a 23-point upset victory on the road against the Jayhawks, who were the No. 2 ranked team in the country at the time. It was a complete performance from the Frogs, who shot 54% from the floor while forcing 17 turnovers, limiting the Jayhawks to a 39% shooting advantage and a 35-28 rebounding advantage.
This massive victory allowed TCU to come back from a road loss to West Virginia and improve its record to 4-3 SU and 4-2-1 ATS in Big 12 play.
The Horned Frogs looked great in non-collegiate play beating Providence, Iowa, and Utah, with their only defeat coming by a single point in November when they lost their MVP Mike Miles and another point guard, Damion Bowe.
Miles leads the team in scoring with 18.9 points per game on 52.6% shooting while Baugh leads the team with 5.0 assists and 2.1 steals per game while playing with 12.2 ppg. Forward Emmanuel Miller averages 14.0 ppg on 57.8% shooting while grabbing 6.3 rebounds per game.
TCU is 14th in the country in defensive efficiency adjusted according to Kinbaumwhile ranking 58th in offense.
He quickly goes into a skid two games fresh from a 62-60 loss at home to Baylor. The Bears caught 36% in that contest but went 5-21 from beyond the arc themselves while coming to the line for just four free throw attempts.
Oklahoma is 2-5 SU (3-3-1 ATS) in conference play and nearly all of those contests have been very close. With the exception of a 16-point road loss to Oklahoma State last Wednesday, all of their other six games have been decided by five points or fewer.
Sherfield leads Oklahoma with 17 ppg and 3.4 apg while shooting 44.2% from depth. Big man Tanner Groves (10.5 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 52.1 FG%) is the only other faster-than-average pickup in double digits.
Soon she is 40th in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency and 57th in adjusted defensive efficiency.
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Oklahoma vs. TCU Over/Under analysis
It will be interesting to see which team can implement their preferred technique in this match. Oklahoma plays at a slow pace and ranks only 325th in adjusted tempo. TCU, on the other hand, likes to push the pace and their average length of possession on offense (16.0 seconds) is the 33rd lowest in the nation.
Although the Sooners were generally effective when it came to shooting the ball, they struggled with offensive turnover and rebounding.
This is not a good sign against a strong defensive team like TCU. The Frogs are 28th in the nation in opposition effective field goal percentage (46%), 29th in blocking rate (8.6%), and 22nd in steals per possession (12.2%).
TCU has been effective from inside the arc shooting 53.5% from two-point range with that number rising to 57% in the last three games.
However, the Horned Frogs are only 335 in the country in 3-point game percentage (29.8%) and the Sooners are 19th in 3-point game percentage (29.2%).
With both teams shooting poorly from outside the arc and the Sooners trying to slow this game to a crawl, Under might be worth a look.
Oklahoma vs TCU betting direction to find out
The Horned Frogs have gone 6-1-1 ATS their last eight home games. Find more College basketball betting trends Oklahoma vs UCLA.
Oklahoma vs. TCU game info
|Location:||Ed and Ray Schulmeyer, Fort Worth, TX|
|Date:||Tuesday, January 24, 2023|
|Warning:||8:00 p.m. ET|